主讲人：赵敏强 副教授（厦门大学王亚南经济研究院）

主持人：许睿 助理教授（辽宁大学中国经济研究院）

嘉宾介绍：何超 副教授（辽宁大学中国经济研究院）

时间：2024年11月29日（周五）  14：45-16：15（北京时间）

地点：辽宁大学蒲河校区机关楼401会议室

线上地址：腾讯会议358-6417-4104

语言：中文/英文

摘要： This paper examines the role of mobility barriers in shaping the structural transformation of rural and urban China from 1985 to 2010. We document the employment patterns across five sectors: agriculture, rural industry, rural services, urban industry, and urban services. A simple two-region, two-sector model is constructed to illustrate how structural transformation occurs with tradable industries and non-tradable services. We then extend the model to include the agricultural sector and the policy features from Ngai et al. (2019), as well as migration costs. The extended model is calibrated to match key features of the Chinese economy. The model-generated employment shares align well with the actual data, especially for the agriculture, urban industry, and urban services sectors. Our counterfactual experiments reveal that the land policy exerts a more significant effect on rural structural transformation, while the subsidy policy plays a more important role in migration decisions and urban structural transformation. However, neither policy is a major determinant of labor allocation across sectors and regions. Furthermore, we show that technological progress is the main driver of structural transformation in both rural and urban China.

主讲人简介：赵敏强，美国俄亥俄州立大学经济学博士，现任厦门大学王亚南经济研究院副教授。主要研究领域为环境经济学与劳动经济学。研究成果发表于Journal of Environmental Economics and Management、American Journal of Agricultural Economics、Journal of Development Economics、Regional Science and Urban Economics、Labour Economics、《经济学（季刊）》等国内外学术期刊。

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